Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 0.019463 0.021046 0.022696 0.024546 0.026562 0.028695 0.031124
2025-09-07 0.016642 0.018900 0.021383 0.024320 0.027705 0.031492 0.036061
2025-09-14 0.014830 0.017464 0.020476 0.024186 0.028646 0.033854 0.040421
2025-09-21 0.013405 0.016251 0.019610 0.023885 0.029204 0.035636 0.044050
2025-09-28 0.012465 0.015494 0.019168 0.023979 0.030147 0.037838 0.048230
2025-10-05 0.011610 0.014750 0.018653 0.023892 0.030789 0.039630 0.051927
2025-10-12 0.010960 0.014204 0.018326 0.023986 0.031624 0.041663 0.056009
2025-10-19 0.010387 0.013710 0.018016 0.024057 0.032395 0.043614 0.060055
2025-10-26 0.009822 0.013182 0.017619 0.023965 0.032908 0.045208 0.063661
2025-11-02 0.009350 0.012749 0.017314 0.023964 0.033525 0.046950 0.067548
2025-11-09 0.008807 0.012181 0.016786 0.023611 0.033601 0.047901 0.070303
2025-11-16 0.008282 0.011610 0.016220 0.023160 0.033495 0.048560 0.072628
2025-11-23 0.007838 0.011145 0.015798 0.022923 0.033730 0.049792 0.076003
2025-11-30 0.007441 0.010730 0.015429 0.022745 0.034046 0.051168 0.079704
2025-12-07 0.007094 0.010367 0.015115 0.022626 0.034434 0.052661 0.083672
2025-12-14 0.006733 0.009963 0.014715 0.022347 0.034545 0.053712 0.086964
2025-12-21 0.006493 0.009730 0.014560 0.022435 0.035233 0.055706 0.091936
2025-12-28 0.006230 0.009446 0.014309 0.022354 0.035635 0.057245 0.096217
2026-01-04 0.006025 0.009243 0.014172 0.022442 0.036312 0.059264 0.101446
2026-01-11 0.005829 0.009043 0.014028 0.022508 0.036949 0.061240 0.106715
2026-01-18 0.005612 0.008798 0.013801 0.022422 0.037316 0.062766 0.111254
2026-01-25 0.005426 0.008597 0.013632 0.022421 0.037825 0.064557 0.116387
2026-02-01 0.005185 0.008293 0.013282 0.022092 0.037737 0.065278 0.119544